Approach
Built from the live book — not theory. NSE stock options · Nifty / Sensex options. Discretionary F&O — stock CE momentum + index PE expression. 134 verified F&O rows since Aug 13, 2025.
Headline: 69.4% win rate and +₹8,68,080 in gross profits. Verified net −₹77,932 after charges because a war-volatility cluster of oversized losers — not because the everyday book fails to win.
Snapshot
Broker-verified via Zerodha · Open Verified P&L ↗ · All 134 trades · F&O since Aug 13, 2025
Win rate
69.4%
93W · 41L
Gross profits
+₹8.68L
Sum of all winning rows
Core band ( |P&L|<₹20k )
75% WR
104 rows · +₹2.91L gross
Best sleeve
Index PE
40 rows · +₹60k · 70% WR
Best trade
+₹41,230
POWERGRID Feb 290 CE
Verified net
−₹77,932
After charges · outlier-heavy
Sleeves in the book
How the 134 rows actually cluster — this drives strategy weight and risk rules.
-
Controlled premium
104 rows with |P&L| < ₹20k · Primary expectancy
75%
+₹2.91L
-
Index puts
NIFTY / SENSEX PE · Best major sleeve
70%
+₹60k
-
Stock calls
64 CE rows · high hit rate · Flipped by war outliers
73.4%
−₹41.6k
-
Shock outliers
5 rows · |P&L| ≥ ₹50k · 41% of gross losses
0%
−₹3.68L
Risk rules
-
Live inside the controlled band
Most of the edge is in everyday size: 104 / 134 rows under ₹20k absolute P&L printed 75% winners and +₹2.91L. That is the default inventory.
-
Prefer proven sleeves
Index PE (+₹60k, 70% WR) and selective stock PE (+₹21k) beat index CE (−₹61k) in this sample. Express views through sleeves that already showed expectancy.
-
Shock-size hard cap
War-volatility cluster: five losers totaling −₹3.68L (~41% of all gross losses). Cap name / premium risk when geopolitics and IV spike — POWERGRID / TATAPOWER / ETERNAL / fat index CE are the caution tape.
-
Fix loss magnitude before hunting win rate
Win rate is already 69.4% — the hole is avg loss (≈₹21.7k) vs avg win (≈₹9.3k). Tighten invalidation and max loss per idea before adding frequency.
Toolkit
- Zerodha Kite Execution & order management
- Zerodha Console Verified P&L + full tradebook proof
- TradingView Structure, levels, multi-timeframe bias
- This portfolio / CSV Post-trade sleeve analytics & journal
Proof: Verified P&L ↗ · All trades · CSV